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Key points: Financials and health care retained the top two dual trend sector rankings The technology sector jumped from 7 to 3 in the rankings over the last week Application software had the highest proportion of absolute and relative highs

Sector and industry trends reflect a pro-cyclical market bias

The S&...


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Summary: SPX broke out from its multi-month consolidation. The bull trend is supported by positive breadth, strong earnings growth, and an investor base that remains underweight.

Not all is rosy — credit continues its multi-month negative divergence. These divergences can persist for some time before equities catch down, so nothing to do at the mom...


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In this week’s episode, I review recent improvements across my market models and break down some unusual price action within the VIX complex, particularly on Friday. I also revisit the dynamics between individual stock volatility, implied correlations, and index vol, as well as movements in credit spreads and shifting equity futures positioning.

Topics this week i...


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Broad Market Thoughts

The S&P 500 ripped to a new all-time high on Tuesday, its first record following a multi-month consolidation. The breakout was accompanied by an improvement in our indicators, with the short-term Risk-On/Off Composite jumping back to 100%—meaning every trend and breadth measure is now bullish.

Sector-level conditions also improved, wit...


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Key points:  Precious and industrial metals stocks have rebounded over the last week A handful of gold mining stocks are breaking out and exhibiting relative strength Within the industrial metals complex, specialty metals and steel rank the highest

When the dollar falls, metals tend to rise

The U.S. dollar took a one-two punch last week. First, th...


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