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Our summary of recent economic events and what to expect in the weeks ahead. Canadian Highlights Canada and the U.S. are negotiating ahead of the August 19th deadline for the latest U.S. tariff threat. Details remain limited and the outcome could materially affect sector activity, investment, and business confidence. A solid Canadian labour market report […]
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Canada’s Consumer Price Index for July on Monday is expected to show a tick higher in headline CPI, before the latest round of U.S. Section 338 tariffs are set to take effect on Wednesday. We expect year-over-year price growth rose to 2.9% from 2.8% in June, driven by a reacceleration in energy prices. Oil prices […]
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US consumer sentiment deteriorated sharply in August, adding to signs that household confidence is weakening even as inflation concerns persist. University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment fell from 55.2 to 51.0, below 54.1 consensus. Current Conditions dropped from 54.8 to 51.8 and Expectations declined from 55.4 to 50.6. Survey said expected business conditions fell -...
Markets July US retail sales extend the string of weak to tame US eco data since Friday’s payrolls. Headline retail sales unexpectedly fell by 0.6% M/M (vs +0.1% consensus) with sales in the retail control group down 0.4% M/M (vs +0.3% expected). Details offer some silver linings though with sales volumes up in 9 out […]
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The US job report showed a surprise decline of 23,000 jobs in July, while previous data was revised down by 103,000. This paints a weaker picture of growth in the US economy but also a picture more in line with the stagnation in the labour force which is reducing the growth potential. Hence, the unemployment […]
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